Mauritius vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
GHA
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RWA
5 - 0
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 0
RWA
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
3 - 0
ANG
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
0 - 0
MWI
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
3 - 0
MWI
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |