Mauritius vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
KEN
11%
22%
67%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 3
DJI
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AGO
1 - 0
MUS
83%
13%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
AGO
9%
20%
71%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
TGO
2 - 0
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 2
ZMB
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
ZMB
3 - 1
LSO
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |