Maur Lusitanos vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
13º
39
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
SML
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SML
0 - 0
REI
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SML
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
SML
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SML
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
USB
1 - 1
SPI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 0
USB
38%
27%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
STG
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
BOB
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 3
USB
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |