Maur Lusitanos vs Neuilly Sur Marne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
2º
20
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SML
13%
23%
65%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SML
2 - 1
RAC
17%
22%
60%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
SML
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SML
4 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 2
DIJ
27%
23%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUX
5 - 4
NEU
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
UST
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
NEU
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |