Maur Lusitanos vs RC France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
9º
3º
12
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
SML
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SML
4 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SML
0 - 0
STG
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SML
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
DIJ
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
RAC
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
UST
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 22 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 4
RAC
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |