Maur Lusitanos vs Poissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DRA
1 - 2
SML
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SML
2 - 0
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 3
SML
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 1
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POI
1 - 1
VCH
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 2
POI
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POI
1 - 1
CAL
52%
26%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 0
POI
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |