Maur Lusitanos vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
SML
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SML
2 - 4
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 1
SML
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FEI
0 - 1
SML
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SML
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 2
FEI
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 2
FLE
22%
24%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FLE
3 - 2
SED
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
3 - 1
STG
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |