Maur Lusitanos vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
4º
44
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 1
SML
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SML
1 - 1
FUR
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
SML
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
SML
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SML
4 - 1
BOB
21%
26%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 1
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MFC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BRE
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
IVR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |