Maur Lusitanos vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPI
0 - 0
SML
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SML
0 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 1
SML
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SML
3 - 1
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ASB
1 - 1
SML
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
FLE
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 3
OLY
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
3 - 2
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
GOB
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |