Maur Lusitanos vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
4º
33
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SML
1 - 2
IVR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SML
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SML
0 - 0
BAS
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STG
1 - 0
SML
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SML
2 - 0
VTR
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEU
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
ORL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |