Maur Lusitanos vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AUL
2 - 2
SML
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
NOI
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SML
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 1
SML
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
BOU
73%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
2 - 0
IVR
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 1
AUL
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOI
3 - 1
AIL
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIL
3 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 1
AMI
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |