Mauerwerk vs Wiener Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
9º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 0
MAU
73%
16%
10%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAU
5 - 0
KRE
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 2
MAU
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAU
75%
14%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAU
2 - 2
SCW
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
0 - 1
MAN
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCW
2 - 0
WIE
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
2 - 1
ASV
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
2 - 3
WIE
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ELE
2 - 1
WIE
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |