Mauerwerk vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
16º
14º
46
3º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCW
2 - 0
MAU
87%
9%
5%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MAU
0 - 8
FCM
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 0
MAU
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 6
AUS
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 1
MAU
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
SKA
4%
10%
86%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
WIE
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 0
MAN
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ELE
0 - 2
MAN
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |