Mauerwerk vs Siegendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
16º
16º
16
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FAV
0 - 1
MAU
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAU
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 2
MAU
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 1
ELE
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 0
WIE
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 1
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ELE
3 - 3
ASV
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 1
FAC
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 0
SCH
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 1
SVS
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |