Mauá vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAU
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 1
MAN
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 2
MFC
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 1
MFC
53%
23%
23%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
CAT
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
ECU
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ECU
2 - 1
MAU
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ECU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
JAB
3 - 0
ECU
59%
22%
19%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 4
MFC
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |