Mattersburg II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mattersburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 0
RIT
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 1
ADM
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 0
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 2
SCF
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 1
SVH
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 2
SOL
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
FCW
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 5
NEU
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
5 - 1
BAU
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |