Mattersburg II vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mattersburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 4
MAT
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MAT
4 - 1
WIE
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
MAT
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
MAT
0 - 3
ADM
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
RAP
3 - 0
MAT
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
OST
38%
23%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 0
BAU
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 1
FCW
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 0
BAU
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BAU
3 - 3
NEU
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |