Matsumoto Yamaga vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 0
FCK
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MAT
0 - 8
VIS
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
URA
3 - 1
JEF
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
URA
1 - 2
FCY
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KAW
0 - 2
URA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
URA
4 - 1
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIS
3 - 2
URA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |