Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GIF
1 - 2
MAT
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 2
TOC
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 2
GAM
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FAG
2 - 1
MAT
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 3
THE
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 1
SAG
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KAW
0 - 1
SAG
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
10 - 0
SAU
91%
8%
2%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |