Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 2
THE
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 2
MAT
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
KYO
0 - 1
MAT
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAT
0 - 0
ROA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
KAT
1 - 2
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KYO
1 - 2
SHO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
THE
1 - 0
KYO
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
KYO
0 - 1
MAT
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 1
YOK
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 1
KYO
44%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |