Kagura Shimane vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagura Shimane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MCF
0 - 3
TUJ
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JEF
2 - 0
FAG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FAG
3 - 1
KAM
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
EHI
1 - 1
FAG
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 0
TOK
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 3
FAG
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |