Matrei vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 3
MOT
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
HAL
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
JEN
4 - 4
MAT
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
KUN
4 - 0
MAT
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 2
REI
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
5 - 0
KUN
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REI
2 - 2
WAT
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
4 - 1
VOL
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
KIR
3 - 0
WAT
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
SVI
2 - 1
WAT
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |