Matrei vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
KEM
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 2
UNI
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
FUG
5 - 0
MAT
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
REU
1 - 1
MAT
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 3
WAT
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
5 - 1
KUN
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 1
REI
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 1
VOL
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
SVI
3 - 1
KIR
30%
22%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
KIR
3 - 0
JEN
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |