Matrei vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matrei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FUG
3 - 2
MAT
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 0
IMS
65%
18%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAT
6 - 1
KIT
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MAT
3 - 1
VOL
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
REI
3 - 2
MAT
70%
16%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KIR
0 - 1
KIT
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 2
KIR
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KIR
1 - 2
REI
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
KIR
7 - 2
KEM
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
KIR
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |