Matran vs Dudingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
79.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
16º
16º
27
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 3
MAT
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 5
LAU
5%
10%
84%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAT
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
FCC
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TPA
1 - 1
MAT
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUD
6 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BBB
7 - 2
DUD
48%
21%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUD
1 - 1
FCA
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
3 - 1
DUD
21%
19%
61%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUD
2 - 1
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |