Matran vs Dudingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
79.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
16º
16º
27
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 3
MAT
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 5
LAU
5%
10%
84%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
MAT
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
FCC
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TPA
1 - 1
MAT
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dudingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUD
6 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BBB
7 - 2
DUD
48%
21%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUD
1 - 1
FCA
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GUM
3 - 1
DUD
21%
19%
61%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUD
2 - 1
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |