Matonense vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
MAT
46%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAT
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 2
VOT
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 2
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
MAT
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 2
TUP
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 2
TAU
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
AGU
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
TAU
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 1
TAU
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |