Matonense vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
6 - 1
GRÊ
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 1
MAT
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
GRÊ
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |