Matonense vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
GRE
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 1
DES
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
TAB
3 - 3
MAT
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
POR
3 - 2
OLI
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
POR
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
RIO
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |