Matonense vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
MAT
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAT
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAT
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |