Matonense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
MAT
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 3
CAP
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
5 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |