Matonense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DES
0 - 1
MAT
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SJS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 3
COM
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAB
0 - 2
MAT
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
4 - 0
MAT
66%
22%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAB
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |