Matonense vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
3 - 1
RBB
19%
24%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 1
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VOT
2 - 3
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |