Matonense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DES
0 - 1
MAT
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SJS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 3
COM
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
GRE
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |