Matonense vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAT
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
MAT
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
PEN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |