Matonense vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAT
41%
24%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAT
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
OES
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 2
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 0
MAD
31%
26%
42%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |