Matonense vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 3
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
COT
3 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
TAU
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |