Matonense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 1
MAT
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAT
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
ATI
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
GRÊ
76%
17%
7%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
SJS
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 0
GRÊ
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
GRÊ
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +1 |