Matonense vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
BER
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |