Matonense vs Cotia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
MAT
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 3
MAT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
COT
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
VOT
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
COT
3 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |