Matonense vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 0
ATI
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAT
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIO
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
PAU
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 1
MON
29%
25%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |