Matonense vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
MAT
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
COM
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
MAT
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
BAT
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 2
MAT
38%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
AGU
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAU
61%
20%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 2
AGU
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
4 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |