FA Trophy 1/32
Global 4-4
Matlock Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
UNM
5 - 2
MAT
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
RED
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 1
STA
61%
20%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
ASH
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAT
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
STO
4 - 2
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
DAG
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHO
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUL
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 3
CHO
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |