Mathare United vs Thika United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
MAT
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
ULI
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
POS
0 - 0
MAT
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
GOR
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
THI
0 - 0
WES
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
4 - 0
THI
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
THI
1 - 2
GOR
25%
29%
47%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
THI
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
THI
2 - 1
AFC
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |