Mathare United vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ULI
0 - 0
MAT
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
NZO
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIU
1 - 2
MAT
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
POS
2 - 2
MAT
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
KAK
0 - 1
SOF
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SOF
0 - 3
BAN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SOF
2 - 1
ZOK
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TUS
0 - 1
SOF
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SON
1 - 0
SOF
29%
30%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |