Mathare United vs Kenya Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
58.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TLT
1 - 1
MAT
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MSU
3 - 0
MAT
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | -3 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAT
0 - 0
KAS
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
SHA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
MAT
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POL
1 - 1
SOF
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MSU
0 - 1
POL
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
POL
3 - 0
BAN
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
POL
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
POL
3 - 2
POS
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |