Mathare United vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
MAT
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
MAT
35%
32%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
SOF
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
MAT
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
NAK
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 0
GOR
18%
27%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
MAT
35%
32%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
THI
0 - 1
CHE
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WES
1 - 1
CHE
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 3
ULI
23%
31%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |