Matera vs Viterbese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
MAT
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
MAT
31%
27%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
FRA
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
MAT
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viterbese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
SIC
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIE
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
VIT
89%
9%
2%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 4
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
REN
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |