Matera vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 0
MAT
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
USV
1 - 0
MAT
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
3 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 3
MAT
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAS
27%
28%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
RIE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
FRA
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |