Coppa Italia Serie C Final
Global 2-3
Matera vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
MAT
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
REG
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ANC
2 - 2
MAT
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCC
3 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
BV5
1 - 2
VNZ
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
VNZ
3 - 1
BSP
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TER
1 - 4
VNZ
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |