Matera vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
MAT
65%
22%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
PIS
35%
30%
35%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
COM
2 - 1
MAT
65%
23%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
CES
2 - 1
MAT
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BRE
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
TER
0 - 0
SAM
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
TAR
0 - 2
TER
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
PAL
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
VER
1 - 0
TER
58%
25%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PAR
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |